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Well, Achaea, Aetolia, and Imperian were slowly growing during the last 12-18 months until Lusternia opened, at which point they all shrank due to the fact that Lusternia cannibalized a bunch of players from the other games.
Xbox Live isn't really big enough to have an impact on online games by itself, but I think the HUGE fall this has been for video games generally might have some effect. I can't remember the last time so many high-profile and quality games have come out in such a short time: Sims 2, Doom 3, Everquest II, Worlds of Warcraft, GTA: San Andreas, Metroid Prime 2, Halo 2, Prince of Persia 2, KOTOR 2, Half-Life 2, Rome: Total War, Fable etc.
--matt
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