In my experience, the people that make a big deal about leaving are the ones that end up coming back. They post long, dramatic farewells on the discussion board, request that their character be deleted, and send long email to the admins detailing exactly how they've been driven to this drastic move.
The more fuss they make, the likelier they are to come back. They've got a degree of emotional investment that keeps them from returning. It's the ones that fade away wordlessly that don't come back - sometimes that's a sad thing, other times it's just a case of player styles differing radically from that of the mud.
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